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2023 telecommunications industry Part 3
5G Fixed Wireless Access will be big for 2023
The deployment of 5G SA networks will reach a tipping point by the end of 2023. In some markets, such as the US, India, China and parts of Europe and South Asia, see more activities of CSPs to advance the resources of the 5G SA network to promote and implement private networks. We estimate that mining and manufacturing will be the two main sectors in which private networks will be resumed in 2023. In the case of businesses, now promising, it will still need to be verified and the ROI horizon or immediate benefits will be the main metrics that decide these projects will be sized for companies similar to the same vertical, as well as other vertical. China, Australia, USA, Germany, the Middle East and Korea will lead this trend.
We believe that Europe and Asia (India, SEA) will see a strong FWA wave in 2023 and the total number of 5G FWA subscribers will double globally compared to 2022.
FWA has been the hottest topic and pointed out as the killer use case for 5G. Demand for high-speed broadband is on the rise thanks to the pandemic and all the efforts to reduce digital exclusion and limited fiber reach. However, the first phase of FWA rollouts between 2020 and 2022 was hampered by supply constraints on the CPE side, as rollout is slower for 5G coverage, especially with higher capacity and spectrum throughput, such as C band and mm Wave. We believe that in 2023 we will see a major non-launch focus of 5G FWA with aggressive non-market entry activities supplanted by two 5G CPE price reductions. The countries of the Middle East will lead the way with the FWA and are now followed by the USA. We believe that Europe and Asia (India, SEA) will see a strong FWA wave in 2023 and the total number of 5G FWA subscribers will double globally compared to 2022.
Neil Shah, author of Counterpoint Research
The impact of inflation
We expect a continued increase in the use of 4G and 5G, as people across the country increasingly take their lives digitally. The challenge will fall on the mobile networks to provide a network infrastructure capable of supporting a fast and reliable experience.
All industries will continue to feel the impact of inflation and increase energy prices without meeting safety requirements in 2023. Regulatory obligations, such as the removal of equipment from high-risk suppliers and continuous shared rural network implementation, also discard the costs. This reinforces the consolidation argument in the market, by scaling it would prevent MNOs from having to make difficult investment decisions and allows them to continue investing in all fronts, generating new innovation and gaining growth in the market.
Iain Milligan, Network Director, Three UK
The industrial metaverse
Many significant commercial benefits come from the industrial metaverse, and the digitization of Industry 4.0 will continue to pave the way for achieving these advantages by 2023 in a fully virtual world. We will see activities such as prototyping and testing of new processes – which are much more flexible and accessible in digital .
Many significant commercial benefits come from the industrial metaverse, and the digitization of Industry 4.0 will continue to open the way to obtain these advantages in 2023.
Like the use of IoT sensors, artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), pervasive data and other advanced technologies, or industrial metaverse and Industry 4.0, share the same vision of smart, connected and resilient operations. As a natural extension of Industry 4.0, the metaverse will continue to promote that vision with a “virtual primary” approach. With advanced industrial networks built on fast and flexible 4G/5G private wireless networks, high-design IP/MPLS and optical transport, edge computing and much more, manufacturing and logistics companies, utilities, transportation, healthcare and much more experimenting with the benefits of digitalization today as it prepares to capitalize on innovations and opportunities presented by the industrial metaverse and by the 4th industrial revolution.
Chris Johnson, Global Head of Corporate Business at Nokia.
A W Moghul
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